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Your gambling analysis site.

We beat the odds for 9 of the 15 years we've been providing daily picks. .

We had our worst year ever in 2011 with the daily picks, although we did quite well with the overall season projections. In 2014 we tied for the title for the season projections at (We have been the sole winner 3 of the 5 years they've had the contest and in 2014 were part of a 3-way tie for first place.  We were slightly up for the regular season in 2009 but had a terrible post-season to make it a negative season. We were also down in 2005, 2007, 2014 and 2015 -- we hope that's not the trend).

Welcome to the 2016 Season!

The Postseason Probabilities page is now posted at here

The 2016 Season Projection page can be found here or here

Here's a link to NY Times coverage of Prof. Bukiet's work

Here's a 2010 media link about our computations!

And here's a youtube link interview from baseballphd

See an interview at NYU TV with Prof. Bukiet


Listen to a radio interview 4/5/2007 with Prof. Bukiet on KNX 1070 in Los Angeles (mp3 format, 5Mbytes, 5 minutes 19 seconds)

As seen on CNN Headline News !!!
Click here to download video (6.15MB)
(You must have windows media player 6.4+.
Right click the link and select "save target as...")

Also check out my other site.

To learn about the changes we made during previous seasons and to see the results of our picks since inception (year by year or day by day), click on Baseball to the left.

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See how we're doing so far this year! (by team) (by day)

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Major League Baseball Picks Casino Games

We offer picks on Major League Baseball games. We use our copyrighted mathematical model to compute the probability of each team winning their game on a given day. The payoffs that betting sites offer imply a win probability (range) for each team that day. (The range is computed so that the casino makes a profit). If our computed probability lies outside that range, we feel it would be profitable to bet on one team or the other. We explain this more fully in the Baseball Picks part of the site.

For the casino games considered, we provide the expected payoffs of various betting options. In addition, for games in which the player has choice (for example, in blackjack) we present the optimal play in each situation. All the advice is based on mathematical analysis of the game. All games favor the casino and casino gambling should be considered an entertainment expense, if you must gamble. However, if you follow our advice, in the long run you should lose more slowly. (If you count cards at Blackjack, you might even win).

There is really no analysis that can be done to improve your odds on playing slot machines. Choose your machines carefully and find the ones that pay as close to 100% as possible. You can find sites where you can try out some slots for free at places like Then once you decide to invest money just make sure you take advantage of any bonuses so you can give yourself a slight edge.

    Bluffing and a keen understanding of statistics and human nature elevate poker from a game of chance into a sophisticated game of skill. Considering all of the calculations and evaluations that take place during a poker game, it's hard to imagine anyone would think the game can be summed up as one where "the best hand wins." 

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